Paper · 2025 · Agricultural Water Management

Balancing yield and water productivity in wheat: A meta-analysis of irrigation, soil, and climate interactions

Yiwen Yang; Zitian Wang; Yuru Ma; et al.

15
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8
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Open access · cc-by

Abstract

Irrigation is a critical practice for enhancing wheat productivity; however, its yield response is strongly influenced by the climate, soil properties, and management practices. Current knowledge insufficiently captures the complex interactions among these factors. To address this gap, a meta-analysis was conducted to quantify the combined effects on wheat grain yield, yield components, grain protein content, and water productivity, thereby supporting evidence-based irrigation strategies. Irrigation significantly increased the grain yield (32.47 %), spike number (19.02 %), grains per spike (12.05 %), thousand-kernel weight (3.46 %), and water productivity (2.28 %). Although irrigation affected GPC under specific conditions, there was no significant overall effect. The more modest increase in WP reflects the concurrent rise in crop water consumption (evapotranspiration) under irrigation, which partially offsets the gain from higher yield. Higher irrigation volumes, dual applications, irrigation at the jointing–flowering stage, and water-saving irrigation practices collectively enhanced yield, grain protein content, and water productivity. Irrigation volumes of 75–150 mm were identified as optimal for maximizing yield components and WP. In soils with moderate bulk density and in regions with low annual precipitation (<500 mm), irrigation combined with nitrogen application produced greater yield gains. Moreover, when mean annual precipitation was < 500 mm, wheat yield responded more strongly to irrigation, whereas water productivity increased more under 500–600 mm precipitation. The synergistic application of conventional fertilization with post-anthesis irrigation further improved wheat yield and water productivity. Overall, these findings provide an empirical basis for irrigation management in China and inform context-specific policy design across heterogeneous agroecosystems. • Irrigation boosts wheat yield by 32.5% but raises water productivity by only 2.3%, revealing a key trade-off. • Dual applications, timing (jointing–flowering), and water-saving practices boost yield, grain protein, and water productivity. • An optimal irrigation volume of 75–150 mm maximizes yield and water productivity.

Abstract from the paper’s OpenAlex record; open copy licensed cc-by. Read at the source ↗

The text the model read, with the source record’s inline markup (italics, sub- and superscripts) rendered and its character entities decoded; quote offsets refer to the raw text.

Claims 15

Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesignificant (as stated)measured

Claim · model-written summary

Irrigation significantly increased wheat grain yield by 32.47 %.

Treatment
Irrigatione0
Outcome
grain yielde0
Direction
increasede0
Value
32.47 %e0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 42–47 · show in text ↑
e0

“Irrigation significantly increased the grain yield (32.47 %), spike number (19.02 %), grains per spike (12.05 %), thousand-kernel weight (3.46 %), and water productivity (2.28 %)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 494–672 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesignificant (as stated)measured

Claim · model-written summary

Irrigation significantly increased spike number by 19.02 %.

Treatment
Irrigatione0
Outcome
spike numbere0
Direction
increasede0
Value
19.02 %e0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 42–47 · show in text ↑
e0

“Irrigation significantly increased the grain yield (32.47 %), spike number (19.02 %), grains per spike (12.05 %), thousand-kernel weight (3.46 %), and water productivity (2.28 %)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 494–672 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesignificant (as stated)measured

Claim · model-written summary

Irrigation significantly increased grains per spike by 12.05 %.

Treatment
Irrigatione0
Outcome
grains per spikee0
Direction
increasede0
Value
12.05 %e0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 42–47 · show in text ↑
e0

“Irrigation significantly increased the grain yield (32.47 %), spike number (19.02 %), grains per spike (12.05 %), thousand-kernel weight (3.46 %), and water productivity (2.28 %)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 494–672 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesignificant (as stated)measured

Claim · model-written summary

Irrigation significantly increased thousand-kernel weight by 3.46 %.

Treatment
Irrigatione0
Outcome
thousand-kernel weighte0
Direction
increasede0
Value
3.46 %e0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 42–47 · show in text ↑
e0

“Irrigation significantly increased the grain yield (32.47 %), spike number (19.02 %), grains per spike (12.05 %), thousand-kernel weight (3.46 %), and water productivity (2.28 %)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 494–672 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesignificant (as stated)measured

Claim · model-written summary

Irrigation significantly increased water productivity by 2.28 %.

Treatment
Irrigatione0
Outcome
water productivitye0
Direction
increasede0
Value
2.28 %e0

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 42–47 · show in text ↑
e0

“Irrigation significantly increased the grain yield (32.47 %), spike number (19.02 %), grains per spike (12.05 %), thousand-kernel weight (3.46 %), and water productivity (2.28 %)”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 494–672 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultno effectnot significant (as stated)measured

Claim · model-written summary

Irrigation had no significant overall effect on grain protein content.

Treatment
irrigatione1
Outcome
GPCe1
Direction
no_changeinferrede1
Qualifier
under specific conditionse1

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 42–47 · show in text ↑
e1

“Although irrigation affected GPC under specific conditions, there was no significant overall effect”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 674–773 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Higher irrigation volumes enhanced yield, grain protein content and water productivity.

Treatment
Higher irrigation volumese2
Outcome
yield, grain protein content, and water productivitye2
Direction
enhancede2

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 42–47 · show in text ↑
e2

“Higher irrigation volumes, dual applications, irrigation at the jointing–flowering stage, and water-saving irrigation practices collectively enhanced yield, grain protein content, and water productivity”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 952–1154 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Dual irrigation applications enhanced yield, grain protein content and water productivity.

Treatment
dual applicationse2
Outcome
yield, grain protein content, and water productivitye2
Direction
enhancede2

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 42–47 · show in text ↑
e2

“Higher irrigation volumes, dual applications, irrigation at the jointing–flowering stage, and water-saving irrigation practices collectively enhanced yield, grain protein content, and water productivity”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 952–1154 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Irrigation at the jointing–flowering stage enhanced yield, grain protein content and water productivity.

Treatment
irrigation at the jointing–flowering stagee2
Outcome
yield, grain protein content, and water productivitye2
Direction
enhancede2

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 42–47 · show in text ↑
e2

“Higher irrigation volumes, dual applications, irrigation at the jointing–flowering stage, and water-saving irrigation practices collectively enhanced yield, grain protein content, and water productivity”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 952–1154 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Water-saving irrigation practices enhanced yield, grain protein content and water productivity.

Treatment
water-saving irrigation practicese2
Outcome
yield, grain protein content, and water productivitye2
Direction
enhancede2

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 42–47 · show in text ↑
e2

“Higher irrigation volumes, dual applications, irrigation at the jointing–flowering stage, and water-saving irrigation practices collectively enhanced yield, grain protein content, and water productivity”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 952–1154 · show in text ↑
Recommendationauthor interpretationoriginal resultpositivebasis n/a

Claim · model-written summary

An irrigation volume of 75–150 mm is recommended for maximizing yield components and water productivity.

Treatment
Irrigation volumes of 75–150 mme3
Outcome
maximizing yield components and WPe3

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 42–47 · show in text ↑
e3

“Irrigation volumes of 75–150 mm were identified as optimal for maximizing yield components and WP”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1156–1253 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Irrigation combined with nitrogen application gave greater yield gains in soils with moderate bulk density and in regions with annual precipitation below 500 mm.

Treatment
irrigation combined with nitrogen applicatione4
Outcome
yield gainse4
Direction
greatere4
Qualifier
In soils with moderate bulk densitye4
Setting
regions with low annual precipitation (<500 mm)e4

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 42–47 · show in text ↑
e4

“In soils with moderate bulk density and in regions with low annual precipitation (<500 mm), irrigation combined with nitrogen application produced greater yield gains”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1255–1421 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Wheat yield responded more strongly to irrigation when mean annual precipitation was below 500 mm.

Treatment
irrigatione5
Outcome
wheat yielde5
Direction
responded more stronglye5
Setting
mean annual precipitation was < 500 mme5

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 42–47 · show in text ↑
e5

“when mean annual precipitation was < 500 mm, wheat yield responded more strongly to irrigation”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1433–1527 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Water productivity increased more under 500–600 mm precipitation.

Outcome
water productivitye6
Direction
increased moree6
Setting
500–600 mm precipitatione6

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 42–47 · show in text ↑
e6

“whereas water productivity increased more under 500–600 mm precipitation”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1529–1601 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Conventional fertilization combined with post-anthesis irrigation further improved wheat yield and water productivity.

Treatment
conventional fertilization with post-anthesis irrigatione7
Outcome
wheat yield and water productivitye7
Direction
further improvede7

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“wheat”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 42–47 · show in text ↑
e7

“The synergistic application of conventional fertilization with post-anthesis irrigation further improved wheat yield and water productivity”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1603–1742 · show in text ↑

fertilization · physiology: water · Triticum aestivum (wheat)Positive and negative results

116 papers: 99 positive, 17 negative or no effect

98 papers in the same direction as this paper · 14 in the opposite direction · 3 reporting no difference from an alternative

  1. positive
  2. no effect
  3. negative

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irrigation · physiology: water · Triticum aestivum (wheat)Positive and negative results

303 papers: 253 positive, 50 negative or no effect

252 papers in the same direction as this paper · 49 in the opposite direction · 1 reporting no difference from an alternative

  1. positive
  2. positive
  3. positive

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irrigation · yield · Triticum aestivum (wheat)Positive and negative results

989 papers: 798 positive, 191 negative or no effect

797 papers in the same direction as this paper · 184 in the opposite direction · 7 reporting no difference from an alternative

  1. positive
  2. positive
  3. positive

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nitrogen · yield · Triticum aestivum (wheat)Positive and negative results

2,061 papers: 1,737 positive, 324 negative or no effect

1,736 papers in the same direction as this paper · 285 in the opposite direction · 39 reporting no difference from an alternative

  1. positive
  2. positive
  3. negative

2,057 papers more in this group

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Claims are grouped by organism, treatment and what was measured or targeted. A paper counts as positive when any of its claims in the group is positive.