Abstract
The response of wheat to the variables of climate change includes elevated CO2, high temperature, and drought which vary according to the levels of each variable and genotype. Independently, elevated CO2, high temperature, and terminal drought affect wheat biomass and grain yield, but the interactive effects of these three variables are not well known. The aim of this study was to determine the effects of elevated CO2 when combined with high temperature and terminal drought on the high-yielding traits of restricted-tillering and vigorous growth. It was hypothesized that elevated CO2 alone, rather than combined with high temperature, ameliorates the effects of terminal drought on wheat biomass and grain yield. It was also hypothesized that wheat genotypes with more sink capacity (e.g. high-tillering capacity and leaf area) have more grain yield under combined elevated CO2, high temperature, and terminal drought. Two pairs of sister lines with contrasting tillering and vigorous growth were grown in poly-tunnels in a four-factor completely randomized split-plot design with elevated CO2 (700 µL L(-1)), high day time temperature (3 °C above ambient), and drought (induced from anthesis) in all combinations to test whether elevated CO2 ameliorates the effects of high temperature and terminal drought on biomass accumulation and grain yield. For biomass and grain yield, only main effects for climate change variables were significant. Elevated CO2 significantly increased grain yield by 24-35% in all four lines and terminal drought significantly reduced grain yield by 16-17% in all four lines, while high temperature (3 °C above the ambient) had no significant effect. A trade-off between yield components limited grain yield in lines with greater sink capacity (free-tillering lines). This response suggests that any positive response to predicted changes in climate will not overcome the limitations imposed by the trade-off in yield components.
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Claims 5
Claim · model-written summary
Only main effects of climate variables on biomass and grain yield were significant.
- Taxon
- wheat
Triticum aestivumt0 - Outcome
- biomass and grain yielde0
Not reportedDirection
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Verbatim
e0“For biomass and grain yield, only main effects for climate change variables were significant.”
t0“wheat”
Claim · model-written summary
Elevated CO2 increased grain yield by 24-35%.
- Taxon
- wheat
Triticum aestivumt0 - Treatment
- Elevated CO2e0
- Outcome
- grain yielde0
- Direction
- increasede0
- Value
- 24-35%e0
Not reportedComparator
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Verbatim
e0“Elevated CO2 significantly increased grain yield by 24-35% in all four lines and terminal drought significantly reduced grain yield by 16-17% in all four lines, while high temperature (3 °C above the ambient) had no significant effect.”
t0“wheat”
Claim · model-written summary
terminal drought reduced grain yield by 16-17%.
- Taxon
- wheat
Triticum aestivumt0 - Treatment
- terminal droughte0
- Outcome
- grain yielde0
- Direction
- reducede0
- Value
- 16-17%e0
Not reportedComparator
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Verbatim
e0“Elevated CO2 significantly increased grain yield by 24-35% in all four lines and terminal drought significantly reduced grain yield by 16-17% in all four lines, while high temperature (3 °C above the ambient) had no significant effect.”
t0“wheat”
Claim · model-written summary
high temperature (3 °C above the ambient) no significant effect grain yield.
- Taxon
- wheat
Triticum aestivumt0 - Treatment
- high temperature (3 °C above the ambient)e0
- Outcome
- grain yielde0
- Direction
- no significant effecte0
Not reportedComparator
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Verbatim
e0“Elevated CO2 significantly increased grain yield by 24-35% in all four lines and terminal drought significantly reduced grain yield by 16-17% in all four lines, while high temperature (3 °C above the ambient) had no significant effect.”
t0“wheat”
Claim · model-written summary
Yield-component tradeoffs limited yield in free-tillering lines with greater sink capacity.
- Taxon
- wheat
Triticum aestivumt0 - Material
- free-tillering linese0
- Outcome
- grain yielde0
- Direction
- limitede0
- Qualifier
- trade-off between yield componentse0
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Verbatim
e0“A trade-off between yield components limited grain yield in lines with greater sink capacity (free-tillering lines).”
t0“wheat”
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