Paper · 2022 · Journal of Geophysical Research Biogeosciences

Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Potential of Alternate Wetting and Drying for Rice Production at National Scale—A Modeling Case Study for the Philippines

David Kraus; Christian Werner; Baldur Janz; et al.

7
claims
16
verbatim quotes
24
citations
2
research areas
✓
Open access · other-oa

Abstract

Abstract Worldwide, rice production contributes about 10% of total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from the agricultural sector, mainly due to CH 4 emissions from continuously flooded fields. Alternate Wetting and Drying (AWD) is a promising crop technology for mitigating CH 4 emissions and reducing the irrigation water currently being applied in many of the world's top rice‐producing countries. However, decreased emissions of CH 4 may be partially counterbalanced by increased N 2 O emissions. In this case study for the Philippines, the national mitigation potential of AWD is explored using the process‐based biogeochemical model LandscapeDNDC. Simulated mean annual CH 4 emissions under conventional rice production for the time period 2000–2011 are estimated as 1,180 ± 163 Gg CH 4 yr −1 . During the cropping season, this is about +16% higher than a former estimate using emission factors. Scenario simulations of nationwide introduction of AWD in irrigated landscapes suggest a considerable decrease in CH 4 emissions by −23%, while N 2 O emissions are only increased by +8%. Irrespective of field management, at national scale, the radiative forcing of irrigated rice production is always dominated by CH 4 (>95%). The reduction potential of GHG emissions depends on, for example, number of crops per year, residue management, amount of applied irrigation water, and sand content. Seasonal weather conditions also play an important role since the mitigation potential of AWD is almost double as high in dry as compared to wet seasons. Furthermore, this study demonstrates the importance of temporal continuity, considering off‐season emissions and the long‐term development of GHG emissions across multiple years.

Abstract from the paper’s OpenAlex record; open copy licensed other-oa. Read at the source ↗

The text the model read, with the source record’s inline markup (italics, sub- and superscripts) rendered and its character entities decoded; quote offsets refer to the raw text.

Claims 7

Observationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Conventional rice production simulated mean annual CH4 emissions of 1,180 ± 163 Gg CH4 per year.

Outcome
CH 4 emissionse0
Value
1,180 ± 163 Gg CH 4 yr −1e0
Setting
2000–2011e0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Simulated mean annual CH 4 emissions under conventional rice production for the time period 2000–2011 are estimated as 1,180 ± 163 Gg CH 4 yr −1 .”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 651–797 · show in text ↑
t0

“Rice”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 72–76 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

The modeled cropping season estimate was about 16% higher than a former emission-factor estimate.

Outcome
thise0
Direction
highere0
Value
+16%e0
Comparator
a former estimate using emission factorse0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“During the cropping season, this is about +16% higher than a former estimate using emission factors.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 798–898 · show in text ↑
t0

“Rice”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 72–76 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Nationwide AWD simulation decrease CH 4 emissions by −23%.

Treatment
AWDe0
Outcome
CH 4 emissionse0
Direction
decreasee0
Value
−23%e0
Comparator
conventional rice productione1
Setting
irrigated landscapese0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Scenario simulations of nationwide introduction of AWD in irrigated landscapes suggest a considerable decrease in CH 4 emissions by −23%, while N 2 O emissions are only increased by +8%.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 899–1085 · show in text ↑
t0

“Rice”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 72–76 · show in text ↑
e1

“under conventional rice production”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 688–722 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultnegativesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Nationwide AWD simulation increased N 2 O emissions by +8%.

Treatment
AWDe0
Outcome
N 2 O emissionse0
Direction
increasede0
Value
+8%e0
Comparator
conventional rice productione1
Setting
irrigated landscapese0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Scenario simulations of nationwide introduction of AWD in irrigated landscapes suggest a considerable decrease in CH 4 emissions by −23%, while N 2 O emissions are only increased by +8%.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 899–1085 · show in text ↑
t0

“Rice”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 72–76 · show in text ↑
e1

“under conventional rice production”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 688–722 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

CH4 accounted for more than 95% of rice production radiative forcing nationally.

Outcome
radiative forcing of irrigated rice productione0
Value
>95%e0
Qualifier
Irrespective of field managemente0
Setting
national scalee0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“Irrespective of field management, at national scale, the radiative forcing of irrigated rice production is always dominated by CH 4 (>95%).”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1086–1225 · show in text ↑
t0

“Rice”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 72–76 · show in text ↑
Associationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

GHG reduction potential depends on cropping frequency, residue management, irrigation water and sand content.

Outcome
reduction potential of GHG emissionse0
Qualifier
residue management, amount of applied irrigation water, and sand contente0
Setting
number of crops per yeare0

Not reportedDirection

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“The reduction potential of GHG emissions depends on, for example, number of crops per year, residue management, amount of applied irrigation water, and sand content.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1226–1391 · show in text ↑
t0

“Rice”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 72–76 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultsimulated

Claim · model-written summary

AWD mitigation potential was almost twice as high in dry versus wet seasons.

Outcome
mitigation potential of AWDe0
Direction
highe0
Value
almost doublee0
Qualifier
drye0
Comparator
wet seasonse0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Oryza sativa
Oryza sativa · Taxon · picture from its Wikimedia Commons categoryDesmanthus4food · CC BY-SA 3.0 us · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“the mitigation potential of AWD is almost double as high in dry as compared to wet seasons.”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1454–1545 · show in text ↑
t0

“Rice”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 72–76 · show in text ↑

irrigation · environment: emissions · Oryza sativa (rice)Positive and negative results

127 papers: 109 positive, 18 negative or no effect

108 papers in the same direction as this paper · 17 in the opposite direction · 1 reporting no difference from an alternative

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