Abstract
Abstract In Central and Eastern Europe, climate changes have been predicted These changes are expected to have a great impact on field crops during the spring-summer growing season. The aim of this paper is to estimate the impact of climate change on the main field crops (maize and soybean) in the Republic of Serbia. The AquaCrop model was used as a tool to quantify climate change impact on yield and net irrigation using results from the ECHAM climate model (SRES A2 scenario for the 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 periods) and data from two experimental fields located in the southern part of the Pannonian lowland. The analyzed results for the 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 periods showed an increase in maize (1 and 1.3 t/ha) and soybean (1.9 and 2.8 t/ha) yields and a very significant increase in the net irrigation of 151.4 and 183.1 mm in maize production and 179.3 and 227.3 mm in soybean production under climate change conditions compared to the 1961-1990 period. Additionally, irrigation water use efficiency was calculated to estimate the importance of irrigation, because crop production is usually conducted under rainfed conditions. It was concluded that maize and soybean production should benefit from climate changes but with higher water quantities.
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Claims 6
Claim · model-written summary
Projected soybean yield increased by 1.9 and 2.8 t/ha in 2041-2070.
- Taxon
- soybean
Glycine maxe0 - Treatment
- climate change conditionse2
- Outcome
- yieldse0
- Direction
- increasee3
- Value
- 1.9 and 2.8 t/hae0
- Qualifier
- 2041-2070e1
- Comparator
- 1961-1990 periode2
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e0“soybean (1.9 and 2.8 t/ha) yields”
e1“The analyzed results for the 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 periods showed”
e2“under climate change conditions compared to the 1961-1990 period”
e3“an increase in maize (1 and 1.3 t/ha) and soybean (1.9 and 2.8 t/ha) yields”
Claim · model-written summary
Projected soybean yield increased by 2.8 t/ha in 2071-2100.
- Taxon
- soybeanGlycine maxe0
- Treatment
- climate change conditionse2
- Outcome
- yieldse0
- Direction
- increasee3
- Value
- 2.8 t/hae0
- Qualifier
- 2071-2100e1
- Comparator
- 1961-1990 periode2
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e0“soybean (1.9 and 2.8 t/ha) yields”
e1“The analyzed results for the 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 periods showed”
e2“under climate change conditions compared to the 1961-1990 period”
e3“an increase in maize (1 and 1.3 t/ha) and soybean (1.9 and 2.8 t/ha) yields”
Claim · model-written summary
maize net irrigation increased by 151.4 and 183.1 mm in 2041-2070.
- Treatment
- climate change conditionse2
- Outcome
- net irrigatione0
- Direction
- increasee0
- Value
- 151.4 and 183.1 mme0
- Qualifier
- 2041-2070e1
- Comparator
- 1961-1990 periode2
Zea maysOrganisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e0“increase in the net irrigation of 151.4 and 183.1 mm in maize production”
e1“The analyzed results for the 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 periods showed”
e2“under climate change conditions compared to the 1961-1990 period”
Claim · model-written summary
maize net irrigation increased by 183.1 mm in 2071-2100.
- Treatment
- climate change conditionse2
- Outcome
- net irrigatione0
- Direction
- increasee0
- Value
- 183.1 mme0
- Qualifier
- 2071-2100e1
- Comparator
- 1961-1990 periode2
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e0“increase in the net irrigation of 151.4 and 183.1 mm in maize production”
e1“The analyzed results for the 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 periods showed”
e2“under climate change conditions compared to the 1961-1990 period”
Claim · model-written summary
soybean net irrigation increased by 179.3 and 227.3 mm in 2041-2070.
- Taxon
- soybeanGlycine maxe0
- Treatment
- climate change conditionse2
- Outcome
- net irrigatione3
- Direction
- increasee3
- Value
- 179.3 and 227.3 mme0
- Qualifier
- 2041-2070e1
- Comparator
- 1961-1990 periode2
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e0“179.3 and 227.3 mm in soybean production”
e1“The analyzed results for the 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 periods showed”
e2“under climate change conditions compared to the 1961-1990 period”
e3“a very significant increase in the net irrigation”
Claim · model-written summary
soybean net irrigation increased by 227.3 mm in 2071-2100.
- Taxon
- soybeanGlycine maxe0
- Treatment
- climate change conditionse2
- Outcome
- net irrigatione3
- Direction
- increasee3
- Value
- 227.3 mme0
- Qualifier
- 2071-2100e1
- Comparator
- 1961-1990 periode2
Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.
Verbatim
e0“179.3 and 227.3 mm in soybean production”
e1“The analyzed results for the 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 periods showed”
e2“under climate change conditions compared to the 1961-1990 period”
e3“a very significant increase in the net irrigation”
The same questions in other papers
climate site · yield · Glycine max (soybean)Results differ
35 papers in the same direction as this paper · 36 in the opposite direction · 1 reporting no difference from an alternative
- negative
- negative
- negative
69 papers more in this group
See all 73 papers →Claims are grouped by organism, treatment and what was measured or targeted. A paper counts as positive when any of its claims in the group is positive.