Paper · 2000 · Weed Technology

Economic Thresholds and the Case for Longer Term Approaches to Population Management of Weeds1

RANDALL E. JONES; RICHARD W. MEDD

4
claims
10
verbatim quotes
102
citations
2
research areas
—
Not open access

Abstract

The economic threshold is a concept strongly embedded within the weed management literature. There are some theoretical concerns with applying a static approach such as the economic threshold to weed management decision making. An improvement is to adopt a population management approach where the intertemporal effects of decisions are taken into account. The focus should be on managing weed populations through time rather than minimizing the yield effect of weeds in a single season or year. Rather than viewing weeds as an annual production problem, the weed seed bank can be considered a renewable resource stock, and the management goal is to deplete this resource stock through time. The principles of natural resource economics illustrate that including the intertemporal effects of weed control will, for a given size of a seed bank, result in a greater level of weed control and a higher economic benefit than if control decisions were based solely on the current period effects. A dynamic economic model was developed of an extensive Australian spring wheat (Triticum aestivum) cropping system to test these principles using wild oat (Avena fatua and A. ludoviciana) as an example. The model was solved for a 20-yr time horizon for a population management approach and the traditional static economic threshold. The economic benefits from a population management approach were significantly greater than those generated by the economic threshold, and the final seed bank was considerably lower. This result suggests that a paradigm shift from thresholds to longer term population management is warranted.Nomenclature: Diclofop-methyl, (±)-2-[4-(2,4-dichlorophenoxy)phenoxy]propanoic acid; flamprop-methyl, N-benzoyl-N-(3-chloro-4-fluorophenyl)-dl-alanine; glyphosate, N-(phosphonomethyl)glycine; wild oat, Avena fatua L. AVEFA, winter wild oat Avena ludoviciana Dur. AVELU; wheat Triticum aestivum L.Additional index words: Dynamic programming, economic optimum thresholds, optimum dose rate, economics, net present value, modeling, integrated weed management, rigid ryegrass, annual ryegrass, Lolium rigidum.Abbreviations: DP, dynamic programming; EOT, economic optimum threshold; ET, economic threshold; IWM, integrated weed management; NPV, net present value; ODR, optimum dose rate.

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Claims 4

Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesignificant (as stated)simulated

Claim · model-written summary

Population management of wild oat gave significantly greater economic benefits than the economic threshold in a 20-year simulation of Australian spring wheat.

Treatment
population management approache0
Interactor
wild oate2weed
Outcome
economic benefitse0
Direction
greatere0
Qualifier
20-yr time horizone3
Comparator
economic thresholde0
Setting
Australiane1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“The economic benefits from a population management approach were significantly greater than those generated by the economic threshold”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1324–1457 · show in text ↑
e1

“dynamic economic model was developed of an extensive Australian spring wheat (Triticum aestivum) cropping system”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 993–1105 · show in text ↑
e2

“using wild oat (Avena fatua and A. ludoviciana) as an example”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1131–1192 · show in text ↑
e3

“The model was solved for a 20-yr time horizon for a population management approach and the traditional static economic threshold”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1194–1322 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Under population management the final wild oat seed bank was considerably lower than under the economic threshold after 20 years.

Treatment
population management approache0
Outcome
final seed banke0
Direction
considerably lowere0
Comparator
economic thresholde0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“The economic benefits from a population management approach were significantly greater than those generated by the economic threshold, and the final seed bank was considerably lower”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1324–1505 · show in text ↑
e1

“dynamic economic model was developed of an extensive Australian spring wheat (Triticum aestivum) cropping system”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 993–1105 · show in text ↑
Recommendationauthor interpretationoriginal resultbasis n/a

Claim · model-written summary

Longer-term population management rather than the economic threshold is warranted for weed management in wheat.

Outcome
paradigm shift from thresholds to longer term population managemente0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“This result suggests that a paradigm shift from thresholds to longer term population management is warranted”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1507–1615 · show in text ↑
e1

“dynamic economic model was developed of an extensive Australian spring wheat (Triticum aestivum) cropping system”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 993–1105 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectauthor interpretationoriginal resultpositivesimulated

Claim · model-written summary

Including intertemporal effects of weed control is expected to give a greater level of weed control and higher economic benefit than deciding on current-period effects alone.

Treatment
intertemporal effects of weed controle0
Outcome
weed controle0
Direction
greatere0
Comparator
current period effectse0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Triticum aestivum
Triticum aestivum · TaxonRasbak · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e0

“including the intertemporal effects of weed control will, for a given size of a seed bank, result in a greater level of weed control and a higher economic benefit than if control decisions were based solely on the current period effects”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 753–989 · show in text ↑
e1

“dynamic economic model was developed of an extensive Australian spring wheat (Triticum aestivum) cropping system”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 993–1105 · show in text ↑

herbicide · weed · Triticum aestivum (wheat)Positive and negative results

401 papers: 362 positive, 39 negative or no effect

361 papers in the same direction as this paper · 34 in the opposite direction · 5 reporting no difference from an alternative

  1. negative
  2. negative
  3. no effect

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Claims are grouped by organism, treatment and what was measured or targeted. A paper counts as positive when any of its claims in the group is positive.