Under a bias-corrected GFDL RCP8.5 scenario, rainfed maize yield shocks across U.S. counties are predicted to decrease by 17% in 2040–2060 relative to the 2006–2020 average.
“Under a bias-corrected GFDL RCP8.5 scenario, this approach predicts the average of annual weather-induced yield shocks, relative to the average of 2006–2020 annual yield shocks, across U.S. counties in the 2040–2060 period of −17% and −13% for rainfed and irrigated maize, −19% and −18% for rainfed and irrigated soybean, and −4% and −2% for rainfed and irrigated winter wheat”
Under a bias-corrected GFDL RCP8.5 scenario, irrigated maize yield shocks across U.S. counties are predicted to decrease by 13% in 2040–2060 relative to the 2006–2020 average.
“Under a bias-corrected GFDL RCP8.5 scenario, this approach predicts the average of annual weather-induced yield shocks, relative to the average of 2006–2020 annual yield shocks, across U.S. counties in the 2040–2060 period of −17% and −13% for rainfed and irrigated maize, −19% and −18% for rainfed and irrigated soybean, and −4% and −2% for rainfed and irrigated winter wheat”
Under a bias-corrected GFDL RCP8.5 scenario, rainfed soybean yield shocks across U.S. counties are predicted to decrease by 19% in 2040–2060 relative to the 2006–2020 average.
“Under a bias-corrected GFDL RCP8.5 scenario, this approach predicts the average of annual weather-induced yield shocks, relative to the average of 2006–2020 annual yield shocks, across U.S. counties in the 2040–2060 period of −17% and −13% for rainfed and irrigated maize, −19% and −18% for rainfed and irrigated soybean, and −4% and −2% for rainfed and irrigated winter wheat”
Under a bias-corrected GFDL RCP8.5 scenario, irrigated soybean yield shocks across U.S. counties are predicted to decrease by 18% in 2040–2060 relative to the 2006–2020 average.
“Under a bias-corrected GFDL RCP8.5 scenario, this approach predicts the average of annual weather-induced yield shocks, relative to the average of 2006–2020 annual yield shocks, across U.S. counties in the 2040–2060 period of −17% and −13% for rainfed and irrigated maize, −19% and −18% for rainfed and irrigated soybean, and −4% and −2% for rainfed and irrigated winter wheat”
Under a bias-corrected GFDL RCP8.5 scenario, rainfed winter wheat yield shocks across U.S. counties are predicted to decrease by 4% in 2040–2060 relative to the 2006–2020 average.
“Under a bias-corrected GFDL RCP8.5 scenario, this approach predicts the average of annual weather-induced yield shocks, relative to the average of 2006–2020 annual yield shocks, across U.S. counties in the 2040–2060 period of −17% and −13% for rainfed and irrigated maize, −19% and −18% for rainfed and irrigated soybean, and −4% and −2% for rainfed and irrigated winter wheat”
Under a bias-corrected GFDL RCP8.5 scenario, irrigated winter wheat yield shocks across U.S. counties are predicted to decrease by 2% in 2040–2060 relative to the 2006–2020 average.
“Under a bias-corrected GFDL RCP8.5 scenario, this approach predicts the average of annual weather-induced yield shocks, relative to the average of 2006–2020 annual yield shocks, across U.S. counties in the 2040–2060 period of −17% and −13% for rainfed and irrigated maize, −19% and −18% for rainfed and irrigated soybean, and −4% and −2% for rainfed and irrigated winter wheat”
“Under a bias-corrected GFDL RCP8.5 scenario, this approach predicts the average of annual weather-induced yield shocks, relative to the average of 2006–2020 annual yield shocks, across U.S. counties in the 2040–2060 period of −17% and −13% for rainfed and irrigated maize, −19% and −18% for rainfed and irrigated soybean, and −4% and −2% for rainfed and irrigated winter wheat”
e2
“Predicted changes in the 2070–2090 period are −30% and −29% for rainfed and irrigated maize, −33% for both rainfed and irrigated soybean, and −7% and −5%for rainfed and irrigated winter wheat”
e3
“projections of yield shocks under multiple future climate scenarios”
“Under a bias-corrected GFDL RCP8.5 scenario, this approach predicts the average of annual weather-induced yield shocks, relative to the average of 2006–2020 annual yield shocks, across U.S. counties in the 2040–2060 period of −17% and −13% for rainfed and irrigated maize, −19% and −18% for rainfed and irrigated soybean, and −4% and −2% for rainfed and irrigated winter wheat”
e2
“Predicted changes in the 2070–2090 period are −30% and −29% for rainfed and irrigated maize, −33% for both rainfed and irrigated soybean, and −7% and −5%for rainfed and irrigated winter wheat”
e3
“projections of yield shocks under multiple future climate scenarios”
“Under a bias-corrected GFDL RCP8.5 scenario, this approach predicts the average of annual weather-induced yield shocks, relative to the average of 2006–2020 annual yield shocks, across U.S. counties in the 2040–2060 period of −17% and −13% for rainfed and irrigated maize, −19% and −18% for rainfed and irrigated soybean, and −4% and −2% for rainfed and irrigated winter wheat”
e2
“Predicted changes in the 2070–2090 period are −30% and −29% for rainfed and irrigated maize, −33% for both rainfed and irrigated soybean, and −7% and −5%for rainfed and irrigated winter wheat”
e3
“projections of yield shocks under multiple future climate scenarios”
“Under a bias-corrected GFDL RCP8.5 scenario, this approach predicts the average of annual weather-induced yield shocks, relative to the average of 2006–2020 annual yield shocks, across U.S. counties in the 2040–2060 period of −17% and −13% for rainfed and irrigated maize, −19% and −18% for rainfed and irrigated soybean, and −4% and −2% for rainfed and irrigated winter wheat”
e2
“Predicted changes in the 2070–2090 period are −30% and −29% for rainfed and irrigated maize, −33% for both rainfed and irrigated soybean, and −7% and −5%for rainfed and irrigated winter wheat”
e3
“projections of yield shocks under multiple future climate scenarios”
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Zea mays
Glycine max
Triticum aestivum