Paper · 2024 · Potato Research

Predicting Potato Crop Yield with Machine Learning and Deep Learning for Sustainable Agriculture

El-Sayed M. El-Kenawy; Amel Ali Alhussan; Nima Khodadadi; et al.

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verbatim quotes
79
citations
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Open access · cc-by

Abstract

Abstract Potatoes are an important crop in the world; they are the main source of food for a large number of people globally and also provide an income for many people. The true forecasting of potato yields is a determining factor for the rational use and maximization of agricultural practices, responsible management of the resources, and wider regions’ food security. The latest discoveries in machine learning and deep learning provide new directions to yield prediction models more accurately and sparingly. From the study, we evaluated different types of predictive models, including K-nearest neighbors (KNN), gradient boosting, XGBoost, and multilayer perceptron that use machine learning, as well as graph neural networks (GNNs), gated recurrent units (GRUs), and long short-term memory networks (LSTM), which are popular in deep learning models. These models are evaluated on the basis of some performance measures like mean squared error (MSE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE) to know how much they accurately predict the potato yields. The terminal results show that although gradient boosting and XGBoost algorithms are good at potato yield prediction, GNNs and LSTMs not only have the advantage of high accuracy but also capture the complex spatial and temporal patterns in the data. Gradient boosting resulted in an MSE of 0.03438 and an R 2 of 0.49168, while XGBoost had an MSE of 0.03583 and an R 2 of 0.35106. Out of all deep learning models, GNNs displayed an MSE of 0.02363 and an R 2 of 0.51719, excelling in the overall performance. LSTMs and GRUs were reported to be very promising as well, with LSTMs comprehending an MSE of 0.03177 and GRUs grabbing an MSE of 0.03150. These findings underscore the potential of advanced predictive models to support sustainable agricultural practices and informed decision-making in the context of potato farming.

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Claims 9

Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Gradient boosting predicted potato yield with an MSE of 0.03438.

Outcome
MSEe0
Value
0.03438e0
Qualifier
Gradient boostinge0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Solanum tuberosum
Solanum tuberosum · TaxonScott Bauer, USDA ARS · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Potato Crop Yield”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 11–28 · show in text ↑
e0

“Gradient boosting resulted in an MSE of 0.03438 and an R 2 of 0.49168”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1328–1397 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Gradient boosting predicted potato yield with an R 2 of 0.49168.

Outcome
R 2e0
Value
0.49168e0
Qualifier
Gradient boostinge0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Solanum tuberosum
Solanum tuberosum · TaxonScott Bauer, USDA ARS · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Potato Crop Yield”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 11–28 · show in text ↑
e0

“Gradient boosting resulted in an MSE of 0.03438 and an R 2 of 0.49168”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1328–1397 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

XGBoost predicted potato yield with an MSE of 0.03583.

Outcome
MSEe0
Value
0.03583e0
Qualifier
XGBooste0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Solanum tuberosum
Solanum tuberosum · TaxonScott Bauer, USDA ARS · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Potato Crop Yield”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 11–28 · show in text ↑
e0

“XGBoost had an MSE of 0.03583 and an R 2 of 0.35106”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1405–1456 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

XGBoost predicted potato yield with an R 2 of 0.35106.

Outcome
R 2e0
Value
0.35106e0
Qualifier
XGBooste0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Solanum tuberosum
Solanum tuberosum · TaxonScott Bauer, USDA ARS · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Potato Crop Yield”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 11–28 · show in text ↑
e0

“XGBoost had an MSE of 0.03583 and an R 2 of 0.35106”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1405–1456 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

GNNs predicted potato yield with an MSE of 0.02363.

Outcome
MSEe0
Value
0.02363e0
Qualifier
GNNse0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Solanum tuberosum
Solanum tuberosum · TaxonScott Bauer, USDA ARS · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Potato Crop Yield”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 11–28 · show in text ↑
e0

“GNNs displayed an MSE of 0.02363 and an R 2 of 0.51719, excelling in the overall performance”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1491–1583 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

GNNs predicted potato yield with an R 2 of 0.51719.

Outcome
R 2e0
Value
0.51719e0
Qualifier
GNNse0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Solanum tuberosum
Solanum tuberosum · TaxonScott Bauer, USDA ARS · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Potato Crop Yield”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 11–28 · show in text ↑
e0

“GNNs displayed an MSE of 0.02363 and an R 2 of 0.51719, excelling in the overall performance”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1491–1583 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

LSTMs predicted potato yield with an MSE of 0.03177.

Outcome
MSEe0
Value
0.03177e0
Qualifier
LSTMse0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Solanum tuberosum
Solanum tuberosum · TaxonScott Bauer, USDA ARS · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Potato Crop Yield”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 11–28 · show in text ↑
e0

“LSTMs comprehending an MSE of 0.03177”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1649–1686 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

GRUs predicted potato yield with an MSE of 0.03150.

Outcome
MSEe0
Value
0.03150e0
Qualifier
GRUse0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Solanum tuberosum
Solanum tuberosum · TaxonScott Bauer, USDA ARS · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Potato Crop Yield”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 11–28 · show in text ↑
e0

“GRUs grabbing an MSE of 0.03150”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1691–1722 · show in text ↑
Method / resourceobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

GNNs and LSTMs captured complex spatial and temporal patterns in the potato yield data.

Outcome
capture the complex spatial and temporal patterns in the datae0
Value
high accuracye0

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Solanum tuberosum
Solanum tuberosum · TaxonScott Bauer, USDA ARS · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

t0

“Potato Crop Yield”

✓ located verbatim in the source · title, characters 11–28 · show in text ↑
e0

“GNNs and LSTMs not only have the advantage of high accuracy but also capture the complex spatial and temporal patterns in the data”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1196–1326 · show in text ↑