Paper · 2019 · Environmental Research Letters

Satellites reveal a small positive yield effect from conservation tillage across the US Corn Belt

Jillian M Deines; Sherrie Wang; David B Lobell

5
claims
8
verbatim quotes
88
citations
2
research areas
✓
Open access · cc-by

Abstract

Abstract Conservation tillage is a primary tenet of conservation agriculture aimed at restoring and maintaining soil health for long-term crop productivity. Because soil degradation typically operates on century timescales, farmer adoption is influenced by near-term yield impacts and profitability. Although numerous localized field trials have examined the yield impacts of conservation tillage, their results are mixed and often unrepresentative of real-world conditions. Here, we applied a machine-learning causal inference approach to satellite-derived datasets of tillage practices and crop yields spanning the US Corn Belt from 2005 to 2017 to assess on-the-ground yield impacts at field-level resolution across thousands of fields. We found an average 3.3% and 0.74% yield increase for maize and soybeans, respectively, for fields with long-term conservation tillage. This effect was diminished in fields that only recently converted to conservation tillage. We also found significant variability in these effects, and we identified soil and weather characteristics that mediate the direction and magnitude of yield responses. This work supports soil conservation practices by demonstrating they can be used with minimal and typically positive yield impacts.

Abstract from the paper’s OpenAlex record; open copy licensed cc-by. Read at the source ↗

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Claims 5

Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Long-term conservation tillage increased maize yield by an average of 3.3%.

Taxon
maizeZea mayse1
Treatment
long-term conservation tillagee1
Outcome
yielde1
Direction
increasee1
Value
3.3%e1

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e1

“We found an average 3.3% and 0.74% yield increase for maize and soybeans, respectively, for fields with long-term conservation tillage”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 740–874 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultpositivemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

Long-term conservation tillage increased soybean yield by an average of 0.74%.

Taxon
soybeansGlycine maxe1
Treatment
long-term conservation tillagee1
Outcome
yielde1
Direction
increasee1
Value
0.74%e1

Not reportedComparator

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Glycine max
Glycine max · TaxonPublic domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e1

“We found an average 3.3% and 0.74% yield increase for maize and soybeans, respectively, for fields with long-term conservation tillage”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 740–874 · show in text ↑
Intervention effectobservedoriginal resultnegativemeasured

Claim · model-written summary

The yield effect of conservation tillage was diminished in fields that only recently converted.

Taxon
maize and soybeansGlycine maxZea mayse1
Treatment
recently converted to conservation tillagee2
Outcome
yielde1
Direction
diminishede2
Comparator
long-term conservation tillagee1

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Glycine max
Glycine max · TaxonPublic domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e1

“We found an average 3.3% and 0.74% yield increase for maize and soybeans, respectively, for fields with long-term conservation tillage”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 740–874 · show in text ↑
e2

“This effect was diminished in fields that only recently converted to conservation tillage”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 876–965 · show in text ↑
Observationobservedoriginal resultsignificant (as stated)measured

Claim · model-written summary

Yield responses to conservation tillage varied significantly, and soil and weather characteristics mediated their direction and magnitude.

Taxon
maize and soybeansGlycine maxZea mayse1
Outcome
yield responsese3
Qualifier
soil and weather characteristics that mediate the direction and magnitudee3

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Glycine max
Glycine max · TaxonPublic domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e1

“We found an average 3.3% and 0.74% yield increase for maize and soybeans, respectively, for fields with long-term conservation tillage”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 740–874 · show in text ↑
e3

“We also found significant variability in these effects, and we identified soil and weather characteristics that mediate the direction and magnitude of yield responses”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 967–1133 · show in text ↑
Recommendationauthor interpretationoriginal resultpositivebasis n/a

Claim · model-written summary

Conservation tillage can be used with minimal and typically positive yield impacts.

Taxon
maize and soybeansGlycine maxZea mayse1
Outcome
yield impactse4

Organisms pictured · Representative pictures of the matched species, not figures from the paper.

Glycine max
Glycine max · TaxonPublic domain · Wikimedia Commons ↗
Zea mays
Zea mays · TaxonAkwugo · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons ↗

Verbatim

e1

“We found an average 3.3% and 0.74% yield increase for maize and soybeans, respectively, for fields with long-term conservation tillage”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 740–874 · show in text ↑
e4

“This work supports soil conservation practices by demonstrating they can be used with minimal and typically positive yield impacts”

✓ located verbatim in the source · abstract, characters 1135–1265 · show in text ↑

tillage · yield · Glycine max (soybean)Positive and negative results

390 papers: 264 positive, 126 negative or no effect

263 papers in the same direction as this paper · 100 in the opposite direction · 26 reporting no difference from an alternative

  1. no effect
  2. positive
  3. positive

386 papers more in this group

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tillage · yield · Zea mays (maize)Positive and negative results

1,099 papers: 812 positive, 287 negative or no effect

811 papers in the same direction as this paper · 230 in the opposite direction · 57 reporting no difference from an alternative

  1. negative
  2. no effect
  3. positive

1,095 papers more in this group

See all 1,099 papers →

Claims are grouped by organism, treatment and what was measured or targeted. A paper counts as positive when any of its claims in the group is positive.